Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 7.474583 8.544796 9.727496 11.133696 12.763011 14.594904 16.815525
2025-06-22 6.071337 7.465271 9.131351 11.277932 13.982549 17.293149 21.677011
2025-06-29 5.135733 6.655248 8.577549 11.204364 14.726037 19.320012 25.825059
2025-07-06 4.452281 6.018136 8.091920 11.064761 15.258650 21.025459 29.662013
2025-07-13 4.095803 5.745658 8.020914 11.424588 16.450584 23.698233 35.121083
2025-07-20 3.779169 5.477969 7.906143 11.679153 17.483337 26.220313 40.645182
2025-07-27 3.565455 5.326399 7.928027 12.115710 18.809007 29.299353 47.398059
2025-08-03 3.212036 4.924303 7.527089 11.846554 18.984179 30.573123 51.357411
2025-08-10 2.934142 4.608168 7.221442 11.684470 19.294610 32.071586 55.849786
2025-08-17 2.696721 4.331667 6.948179 11.538633 19.601266 33.574302 60.510967
2025-08-24 2.482427 4.071936 6.675478 11.359927 19.820291 34.929353 65.048817
2025-08-31 2.286599 3.824942 6.400062 11.144643 19.942151 36.106777 69.376507
2025-09-07 2.223654 3.801351 6.506925 11.625607 21.400790 39.946142 79.520577
2025-09-14 2.108233 3.675710 6.423389 11.748777 22.197043 42.611812 87.656515
2025-09-21 1.974203 3.504920 6.242953 11.669475 22.586395 44.510552 94.425152
2025-09-28 1.843960 3.329976 6.039219 11.523376 22.822077 46.114841 100.761587
2025-10-05 1.793248 3.298259 6.099030 11.899408 24.162104 50.172994 113.234410
2025-10-12 1.732112 3.241345 6.105000 12.165474 25.296879 53.919744 125.539085
2025-10-19 1.696691 3.230890 6.199554 12.621809 26.889601 58.867540 141.518597
2025-10-26 1.583221 3.057657 5.956397 12.340451 26.815932 60.007806 148.116494
2025-11-02 1.490636 2.919430 5.773168 12.171032 26.976910 61.711810 156.428089
2025-11-09 1.406975 2.793247 5.604867 12.018601 27.160093 63.487704 165.202588
2025-11-16 1.326452 2.667778 5.428493 11.831827 27.241656 65.022137 173.553518